Research Analysis

  • What Makes Military Dictators Transition Out of Dictatorships?

    What Makes Military Dictators Transition Out of Dictatorships?

    Frequent leadership cycles are common in dictatorships. Historically, military dictators, whose power is derived from the armed forces, have been subject to more subsequent coups and regime changes than their non-military counterparts. Given their short-lived tenure, military dictators always have to gauge their fate based on the premise of losing…

  • Risks and Regulations of the Sharing Economy

    Risks and Regulations of the Sharing Economy

    The concept of a sharing economy, which includes businesses such as Uber and Airbnb, enables people to utilize an item or service without acquiring actual ownership. While its increasing popularity brings benefits to users, it nevertheless poses a number of risks. In his recent study, “Share and Share Dislike: The…

  • Toxic Policy: The Impact of the Flint Water Crisis on the City’s Children

    Toxic Policy: The Impact of the Flint Water Crisis on the City’s Children

    In 2015, reports of elevated lead levels in the city’s water supply put Flint, Michigan into the national spotlight. The state-appointed emergency manager’s 2014 decision to approve municipal use of water from the Flint River, in an attempt to help the cash strapped city cut costs, is thought by many…

  • Affirmative Consent: The 21st Century Basis of Sex Regulation

    Affirmative Consent: The 21st Century Basis of Sex Regulation

    What is the sex bureaucracy? How has it interacted with social norms to shape regulations regarding sex in the United States over time? In what ways has it changed, and to what extent has its new form retained a variety of bureaucratic elements? Should the public be concerned about unequal…

  • Using Social Networks to Predict Gun Violence in Chicago

    Using Social Networks to Predict Gun Violence in Chicago

    As gun violence takes hundreds of lives each year in Chicago, academics, journalists and policy makers continue to debate the merits of viewing gun violence as a public health issue. While organizations like the American Public Health Association advocate in favor, others remain skeptical of extending the term “epidemic” beyond…

  • When Does War Transpire? Unlikely War Onset Under Uncertainty

    When Does War Transpire? Unlikely War Onset Under Uncertainty

    Scholars have attempted to clarify whether uncertainty about the outcome of a potential war—victory or defeat—influences state behavior in international crises. Until recently, there was consensus that when two states in a bilateral context have equivalent capabilities, and therefore experience high outcome uncertainty, they are more inclined to undergo conflict.…

  • Are Economic Elites Anti-Democratic? Why Economic Elites May Support Democratization

    Are Economic Elites Anti-Democratic? Why Economic Elites May Support Democratization

    Are economic elites always anti-democratic? Not in some contexts. Structural changes in the Bolivian economy cultivated a new set of economic elites in the late 1960s and early 1970s. They typically supported the right-leaning Hugo Banzer, who led a series of coups against the left-leaning junta and established a tyrannical…

  • Causes of War: When the Unknown Creates False Optimism

    Causes of War: When the Unknown Creates False Optimism

    Differing estimates and perceptions of opponents’ power may increase the likelihood of war. Countries are generally incentivized to misrepresent their own strength and capabilities, and such stratagems to retain advantage during military bargaining may lead to mutually optimistic perceptions: each state believes it is more powerful than its opponent. As…

  • Frenando el acoso escolar: el impacto de políticas contra el bullying hacia estudiantes LGBT

    Frenando el acoso escolar: el impacto de políticas contra el bullying hacia estudiantes LGBT

    Cada mañana, muchos estudiantes se levantan con miedo de ir a la escuela por las dificultades que enfrentan al identificarse como lesbianas, gais, bisexuales o transgénero (LGBT). Si bien la aceptación hacia estos grupos ha crecido en las últimas décadas, como sugieren diversos índices, todavía es difícil observar esta tendencia…

  • ¿Les estamos quitando sus empleos? Nueva evidencia sobre los braceros mexicanos en Estados Unidos

    ¿Les estamos quitando sus empleos? Nueva evidencia sobre los braceros mexicanos en Estados Unidos

    En el debate político actual, se ha vuelto común la afirmación de que los migrantes en el mercado laboral disminuyen los salarios de los trabajadores locales y les quitan sus empleos. Esta aseveración se basa en la teoría de que, a mayor oferta de trabajo, menor el precio que se…

  • The Affordable Housing Gap Leaves Low-Income Renters without Options

    The Affordable Housing Gap Leaves Low-Income Renters without Options

    The Urban Institute recently released a report highlighting a significant gap in the amount of affordable housing available, and the number of individuals who need it. This gap has widened in many parts of the country, especially in Cook County, Illinois (the county that encompasses Chicago and neighboring suburbs), which…